Re: How is the actual weather correlated to the forecast?
On 01/13/2012 06:23 AM, nhartlie [via Power TAC Developers] wrote:
> Dear all,
> i think the title already says what I wanted to know :D How is the
> actual weather correlated to the forecasted weather? How is the
> deviation calculated?
These are real-world forecasts and weather reports, from the Minneapolis
weather station. One of my students is looking at the prediction
accuracy for wind-turbine output, but other than that you would either
need to find papers on the subject or do your own analysis. It's pretty
easy to run through a bunch of the data and generate histograms of the
difference between prediction and report for various leadtimes. These
are just discrete density functions.